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门槛。　　该机构称，美联储对宽松政策设定了更高的标准，这意味着利率下行可能需要更长时间等待。同时，降息相关风险呈现两面性：如果通胀回落进展有限，利率可能保持不变；若经济增速出现更明显放缓，降息次数或将超过两次。　　瑞银表示，中东冲突引发的油价飙升带来了新的通胀风险，使美联储立场更加谨慎。美联储主席鲍威尔和理事沃勒均未表示将“忽略”此次供应冲击，相反释放了“观望和等待”的信号。他们希望确保油价上涨不

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